In 1812 Napoleon captured Moscow, but still lost to Russia. If Hitler had captured Moscow in 1941 would he have still lost to Russia?

Yes, but it would likely have taken longer.

Without Moscow, the highly successful Moscow Counteroffensive could not have taken place, as it used Moscow’s road and rail network. The loss of Moscow would also have shattered morale, as Russia’s ancestral capital is now lost. (this would be especially devastating with Leningrad still under siege and Kiev long gone) The vast industries still in Moscow would have been captured, and German supply lines eased considerably.

But the war would be far from lost. Great Britain still held out, and across the Atlantic stood the industrial and economic might of the USA, as well as the other allies like Canada. The fight in Northern Africa would be a lot harder, but the Western Allies would still prevail. The Italian landings and D-Day would need a lot more manpower of course, but a year or so or additional build-up would have cleared that right up.

And if all else fails, there was still the Manhattan Project.

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