A year ago, I said Bernie had no chance to win but should still run, to change the national conversation and to push Clinton to the left. He has succeeded at both.
A month ago, I said Bernie had a chance: a very slim chance, but real. And I marveled.
Today, I am saying the odds are strongly in favor of a Clinton nomination, but it's a competitive race. She has the money, the party establishment, and specifically the super-delegates who don't have to pay any attention to the primary results if they choose not to. But he has enough money, a lot of volunteers, and momentum. If he wins Iowa or New Hampshire and runs a close second in the other state, voters will hear more about him than ever before: it's the classic "man bites dog" story the media love.
I still don't think he will win. But judging by the past, I have to wonder: what will I be saying next month?
Read other answers by Dennis Fischman on Quora:
- Why are people comparing Donald Trump to Adolf Hitler?
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Why are 48 US states perfectly fine with allowing 2 to always hold the first primary elections with a disproportionate effect on US politics?
- Is Noam Chomsky a patriot or a traitor, why or why not?
from Quora http://ift.tt/1V1GVq9
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