Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Obama's Final Two Years (2015-16): Will the Republican party continue to lose support with future generations?

That the Republican party will continue to lose support is basically the de facto macro prediction for US politics right now. The basic idea is that the party has centered itself around a southern, white, Christian strategy and all three of those demographics are shrinking in the United States. The policies that make up the party's platform tend not to be as popular with growing demographics, such as latinos, non-Christians, and non-rural voters.

Here are a few good pieces to read on parts of this over the last four years:

Page on hispanicleadershipnetwork.org
Republicans have run out of persuadable white voters. For the fifth time in the past six presidential elections, Republicans lost the popular vote. Trying to win a national election by gaining a larger and larger share of a smaller and smaller portion of the electorate is a losing political proposition.

Romney earned zero votes in some urban precincts in 2013
President Obama's victory over Mitt Romney in last Tuesday's  presidential election was driven, in part, by the president's strength  in urban areas, where robust support cushioned the incumbent against  electoral deficits in rural America. But almost a week after the  election, it is now becoming clear just how lopsided President Obama's  victory was in some cities: in dozens of urban precincts, Mitt Romney  earned literally zero votes.
The Phildadelphia Inquirer reported today that, in 59 precincts in inner-city Philadelphia, the GOP nominee received not a single vote. Andaccording to the Cleveland Plain Dealer, nine precincts in Cleveland returned zero Romney votes.

Kathleen Parker: The GOP’s future speaks Spanish in 2013
You don’t need a dictionary to translate the following: In June, Obama, who won 71 percent of the Hispanic vote, announced reprieves from deportation for hundreds of thousands of young immigrants who were in the United States illegally, while Mitt Romney promised to end the reprieves if elected.

The missing story of the 2014 election in 2014
What emerges from the numbers is the continuation of a trend that has been in place for almost two decades. Once again, Republicans are disappearing from the competitive landscape at the national level across the most heavily populated sections of the country while intensifying their hold on a declining electoral bloc of aging, white, rural voters. The 2014 election not only continued that doomed pattern, it doubled down on it. As a result, it became apparent from the numbers last week that no Republican candidate has a credible shot at the White House in 2016, and the chance of the GOP holding the Senate for longer than two years is precisely zero.


Read other answers by Jonathan Brill on Quora: Read more answers on Quora.

from Quora http://ift.tt/28MFY5D

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